“McCaul's purchase implies contract activity may occur before expiration, with a possible 10-30% move up. Relative upside range is explicit; year-end deadline inferred because the exact contract expiration was not stated.”
- Target
- —
- Probability
- 50.0%
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2026
- Category
- Directional Up
- Forecast score
- —
- Brier score
- —
Recorded Feb 19, 2026
How scoring worksThe original forecast is preserved. Revisions create a new audit version.