“Nearly 50% of stocks picked today will fall from their ATH and never recover, or trade sideways for the next decade. Ledger interpretation: Broad bearish call about the long-term outcome of individually selected stocks. Confidence and deadline were inferred because the author did not state both explicitly.”
- Target
- —
- Probability
- 50.0%
- Deadline
- Jul 18, 2036
- Category
- Market Breadth Down
- Forecast score
- —
- Brier score
- —
Recorded Jul 18, 2026
How scoring worksThe original forecast is preserved. Revisions create a new audit version.